England-In a surprising prediction ahead of the 2025–26 Ashes series, former England off-spinner Graeme Swann has tipped England to win 3–2 in Australia. Bucking the trend of past series where England has often struggled Down Under, Swann foresees a closely fought contest with a result in every match.
“I'm not going to be the 5–0 man," Swann said, referencing the common whitewash prediction. "I think every game will be a result and I think England will pip it 3–2".
The Ashes series is scheduled to begin on November 21 in Perth.
Differing forecasts for the 2025–26 Ashes
Swann's optimistic forecast for England contrasts with other cricket figures:
Glenn McGrath: The former Australian fast bowler has maintained his traditional prediction of a 5–0 series sweep for Australia.
Michael Vaughan: The former England captain has also leaned toward the hosts, forecasting a 3–1 win for Australia.
Betting Odds: As of October 2025, bookmakers also favor Australia, with their dominant home record and England's long-standing struggles in Australia making them the odds-on choice to retain the urn.
England's squad faces questions
England has not won an Ashes series in Australia since the 2010–11 campaign. While the team features top talent and a proactive "Bazball" style of play under coach Brendon McCullum and captain Ben Stokes, the squad's readiness for tough Australian conditions has been debated.
Key areas of focus include:
Batting: Whether England's aggressive approach can withstand the pace and bounce of Australian pitches, especially against a potent Australian fast-bowling attack.
Bowling: The fitness of strike bowlers Jofra Archer and Mark Wood could be a crucial factor.
While Swann's prediction may be viewed with skepticism given the historical data, his call for a tight series reflects the potential for both sides to deliver a compelling contest. England's recent form, including a 2-2 series draw at home against Australia in 2023, suggests they have the fight to compete, but reversing their fortunes in Australia will require a massive effort.
